SimpleFunctions

Josh Jacobs · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27RBT10

Josh Jacobs is priced at 16¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 11¢ bid, 82¢ ask, 71¢ spread. This outcome ranks #13 of 16 inside KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27RBT10.

Price history

16¢ current

+5¢
10¢20¢
Aug 24, 2026Aug 27, 2026

Contract brief

If Josh Jacobs finishes top 10 in scoring among running backs for the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Josh Jacobs

Rank

#13 of 16

Leader

Bijan Robinson 63¢

Range

7¢-63¢

Family volume

$1K

Identifier

KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27RBT10-JJACOBS8

Aug 27, 2026, 10:08 AM UTC · 2m ago

Implied probability

16¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 27, 2026, 10:08 AM UTC · 2m ago

Bid

11¢

Ask

82¢

Spread

71¢

Reported volume

$300

Family rank

#13 of 16

16 outcomes · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27RBT10

Closes

Jan 18, 2027

Family volume

$1K

Orderbook snapshot

11 / 82¢

Kalshi
71¢ spread
BidSize
11¢181
AskSize
82¢5
84¢30
97¢100
98¢320
99¢200

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Josh Jacobs finishes top 10 in scoring among running backs for the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 18, 2027

Identifier

KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27RBT10-JJACOBS8

SF Signal
SF Index
2047.95
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

2047.9%

IY (No)

31.3%

Adj IY

2048%

CRI

8

RV

1046%

VR

2.80

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

2047.9%
31.3%
Adj IY
2048%
8
RV
1046%
VR
2.80
IAR
0.2/h
Overround
6.1%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.