Junior Caminero · KXMLBAWARDFIN-26ALMVP
Junior Caminero is priced at 80¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 75¢ bid, 85¢ ask, 10¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 6 inside KXMLBAWARDFIN-26ALMVP.
Price history
80¢ current
Contract brief
If Junior Caminero is selected as a finalist for American League MVP in the 2026 Pro Baseball season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Junior Caminero
Rank
#2 of 6
Leader
Yordan Alvarez 90¢
Range
3¢-90¢
Family volume
$500
Identifier
KXMLBAWARDFIN-26ALMVP-JCAMINERO13
Aug 8, 2026, 4:38 AM UTC · 20m ago
Implied probability
Bid
75¢
Ask
85¢
Spread
10¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#2 of 6
6 outcomes · KXMLBAWARDFIN-26ALMVP
Closes
Dec 8, 2026
Family volume
$500
Orderbook snapshot
75 / 85¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Junior Caminero is selected as a finalist for American League MVP in the 2026 Pro Baseball season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 8, 2026
Identifier
KXMLBAWARDFIN-26ALMVP-JCAMINERO13
Event family
KXMLBAWARDFIN-26ALMVP.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$500
Outcomes
6
Highest price
Yordan Alvarez 90¢
Current share
0%
Yordan Alvarez
kalshi · KXMLBAWARDFIN-26ALMVP-YALVAREZ44
Junior Caminero
kalshi · KXMLBAWARDFIN-26ALMVP-JCAMINERO13
Bobby Witt Jr.
kalshi · KXMLBAWARDFIN-26ALMVP-BWITT7
Dillon Dingler
kalshi · KXMLBAWARDFIN-26ALMVP-DDINGLER13
Ben Rice
kalshi · KXMLBAWARDFIN-26ALMVP-BRICE22
Ceddanne Rafaela
kalshi · KXMLBAWARDFIN-26ALMVP-CRAFAELA3
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.