SimpleFunctions

Above 12.0B · Will Kanye West have

Above 12.0B is priced at 32¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 47¢ bid, 55¢ ask, 8¢ spread. This outcome ranks #15 of 16 inside Will Kanye West have.

Price history

32¢ current

10¢
0¢25¢50¢
Aug 12, 2026Aug 28, 2026

Contract brief

If Kanye West has Above 12.0B Worldwide Streams during the January 01 - December 31, 2026 period, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 12.0B

Rank

#15 of 16

Leader

Above 10.25B 96¢

Range

10¢-96¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXARTISTSTREAMSY-YEEZY26DEC31-12.0B

Aug 28, 2026, 11:38 PM UTC · 28m ago

Implied probability

32¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 28, 2026, 11:38 PM UTC · 28m ago

Bid

47¢

Ask

55¢

Spread

Reported volume

$620

Family rank

#15 of 16

16 outcomes · Will Kanye West have

Closes

Jan 2, 2027

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

47 / 55¢

Kalshi
8¢ spread
BidSize
47¢5
46¢200
AskSize
55¢200
93¢717
94¢200

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Kanye West has Above 12.0B Worldwide Streams during the January 01 - December 31, 2026 period, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 2, 2027

Identifier

KXARTISTSTREAMSY-YEEZY26DEC31-12.0B

SF Signal
SF Index
325.01
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

325.0%

IY (No)

255.6%

Adj IY

325%

CRI

1

RV

893%

VR

3.97

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

325.0%
255.6%
Adj IY
325%
1
RV
893%
VR
3.97
IAR
0.3/h
Overround
13.5%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.