SimpleFunctions

Above 9.25B · Will Kendrick Lamar have

Above 9.25B is priced at 96¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 87¢ bid, 96¢ ask, 9¢ spread. This outcome ranks #15 of 16 inside Will Kendrick Lamar have.

Price history

96¢ current

+7¢
90¢100¢
May 26, 2026Jun 24, 2026

Contract brief

If Kendrick Lamar has Above 9.25B Worldwide Streams during the January 01 - December 31, 2026 period, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 9.25B

Rank

#15 of 16

Leader

Above 6.75B 98¢

Range

77¢-98¢

Family volume

$307

Identifier

KXARTISTSTREAMSY-KENNY26DEC31-9.25B

Jun 24, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 16m ago

Implied probability

96¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 24, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 16m ago

Bid

87¢

Ask

96¢

Spread

Reported volume

$302

Family rank

#15 of 16

16 outcomes · Will Kendrick Lamar have

Closes

Jan 2, 2027

Family volume

$307

Orderbook snapshot

87 / 96¢

Kalshi
9¢ spread
BidSize
87¢5
86¢500
AskSize
96¢500
99¢102

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Kendrick Lamar has Above 9.25B Worldwide Streams during the January 01 - December 31, 2026 period, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 2, 2027

Identifier

KXARTISTSTREAMSY-KENNY26DEC31-9.25B

SF Signal
SF Index
571.04
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

28.4%

IY (No)

1273.8%

Adj IY

571%

CRI

7

Overround

12.6%

LAS

0.10

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

28.4%
1273.8%
Adj IY
571%
7
Overround
12.6%
LAS
0.10

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

Opinionanalysis

Information Finance Has Arrived: A Material Map of Prediction Markets in Q2 2026

Combined Kalshi + Polymarket volume hit $66B in just four months of 2026 — already greater than the entire 2025 industry total. Bernstein projects $1T by 2030. Two venues hold 95% of US share. The distribution layer fragmented across nine retail surfaces. AI agents are 30% of Polymarket wallet activ

Opinionanalysis

Volatility Arbitrage in Prediction Markets: Why Political Favorites Above 60¢ Are Systematically Underconfident

A binary contract at price p has variance p(1-p). Le 2026 (292M trades) finds political markets underconfident at slopes 0.93-1.83 — meaning a 70¢ contract corresponds to a true probability near 83%. Four systematic vol-arb trades follow from the calibration evidence.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.