Before November · Will Kendrick Lamar release a new album before
Before November is priced at 31¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 24¢ bid, 32¢ ask, 8¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 4 inside Will Kendrick Lamar release a new album before.
Price history
31¢ current
−2¢Contract brief
If Kendrick Lamar releases a new album before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Before November
Rank
#1 of 4
Leader
Before November 24¢
Range
2¢-24¢
Family volume
$98
Identifier
KXALBUMRELEASEDATE-NEWKEN-26NOV01
Sep 13, 2026, 7:08 AM UTC · 5m ago
Implied probability
Bid
24¢
Ask
32¢
Spread
8¢
Reported volume
$766
Family rank
#1 of 4
4 outcomes · Will Kendrick Lamar release a new album before
Closes
Nov 1, 2026
Family volume
$98
Orderbook snapshot
24 / 32¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Kendrick Lamar releases a new album before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 1, 2026
Identifier
KXALBUMRELEASEDATE-NEWKEN-26NOV01
Event family
Will Kendrick Lamar release a new album before.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$98
Outcomes
4
Highest price
Before November 24¢
Current share
0%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Observability
high
Event type
cultural
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 31% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.