SimpleFunctions

Kenneth Walker III · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27RBT5

Kenneth Walker III is priced at 40¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 34¢ bid, 54¢ ask, 20¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 16 inside KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27RBT5.

Price history

40¢ current

+29¢
25¢
Aug 21, 2026Sep 19, 2026

Contract brief

If Kenneth Walker III finishes top 5 in scoring among running backs for the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Kenneth Walker III

Rank

#4 of 16

Leader

Jahmyr Gibbs 72¢

Range

1¢-72¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27RBT5-KWALKER9

Sep 21, 2026, 5:38 AM UTC · 20m ago

Implied probability

40¢
Latest venue quote
Sep 21, 2026, 5:38 AM UTC · 20m ago

Bid

34¢

Ask

54¢

Spread

20¢

24h volume

$12

Family rank

#4 of 16

16 outcomes · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27RBT5

Closes

Jan 18, 2027

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

34 / 54¢

Kalshi
20¢ spread
BidSize
34¢1
33¢60
30¢16
18¢100
5¢443
AskSize
54¢5
56¢62
71¢100
77¢17
86¢332

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Kenneth Walker III finishes top 5 in scoring among running backs for the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 18, 2027

Identifier

KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27RBT5-KWALKER9

SF Signal
SF Index
356.67
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

713.3%

IY (No)

131.0%

Adj IY

357%

CRI

2

Overround

3.6%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

713.3%
131.0%
Adj IY
357%
2
Overround
3.6%

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Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.