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Above 220M · Will KETTAMA have

Above 220M is priced at 82¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 82¢ bid, 89¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #16 of 16 inside Will KETTAMA have.

Price history

82¢ current

+1¢
80¢85¢
May 28, 2026Jun 25, 2026

Contract brief

If KETTAMA has Above 220M Worldwide Streams during the January 01 - December 31, 2026 period, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 220M

Rank

#16 of 16

Leader

Above 145M 99¢

Range

83¢-99¢

Family volume

$116

Identifier

KXARTISTSTREAMSY-KETTAM26DEC31-220.0M

Jun 25, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 15m ago

Implied probability

82¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 25, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 15m ago

Bid

82¢

Ask

89¢

Spread

Reported volume

$172

Family rank

#16 of 16

16 outcomes · Will KETTAMA have

Closes

Jan 2, 2027

Family volume

$116

Orderbook snapshot

82 / 89¢

Kalshi
7¢ spread
BidSize
82¢500
77¢2
AskSize
89¢5
90¢6
92¢500

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If KETTAMA has Above 220M Worldwide Streams during the January 01 - December 31, 2026 period, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 2, 2027

Identifier

KXARTISTSTREAMSY-KETTAM26DEC31-220.0M

SF Signal
SF Index
467.24
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

39.2%

IY (No)

934.5%

Adj IY

467%

CRI

5

Overround

10.6%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

39.2%
934.5%
Adj IY
467%
5
Overround
10.6%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.