Kiss All the Time. Disco, Occasionally to be #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report
Kiss All the Time. Disco, Occasionally is priced at 7¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 3¢ bid, 8¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 16 inside KXMUSICREPORT-TOPCDSALE27DEC31.
Price history
7¢ current
−4¢Contract brief
If Kiss All the Time. Disco, Occasionally is ranked #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10-Selling CD Albums of 2026 in U.S., as Published by Billboard, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Kiss All the Time. Disco, Occasionally
Rank
#4 of 16
Leader
ARIRANG 58¢
Range
1¢-58¢
Family volume
$511
Identifier
KXMUSICREPORT-TOPCDSALE27DEC31-KIS
Jun 23, 2026, 3:08 PM UTC · 2m ago
Implied probability
Bid
3¢
Ask
8¢
Spread
5¢
24h volume
$68
Family rank
#4 of 16
16 outcomes · KXMUSICREPORT-TOPCDSALE27DEC31
Closes
Dec 26, 2027
Family volume
$511
Orderbook snapshot
3 / 8¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Kiss All the Time. Disco, Occasionally is ranked #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10-Selling CD Albums of 2026 in U.S., as Published by Billboard, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 26, 2027
Identifier
KXMUSICREPORT-TOPCDSALE27DEC31-KIS
Event family
KXMUSICREPORT-TOPCDSALE27DEC31.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$511
Outcomes
16
Highest price
ARIRANG 58¢
Current share
13%
ARIRANG
kalshi · KXMUSICREPORT-TOPCDSALE27DEC31-ARI
you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love
kalshi · KXMUSICREPORT-TOPCDSALE27DEC31-YOU
The Life of a Showgirl
kalshi · KXMUSICREPORT-TOPCDSALE27DEC31-TLOASG
Kiss All the Time. Disco, Occasionally
kalshi · KXMUSICREPORT-TOPCDSALE27DEC31-KIS
The Great Divide
kalshi · KXMUSICREPORT-TOPCDSALE27DEC31-GRE
1989 (Taylor’s Version)
kalshi · KXMUSICREPORT-TOPCDSALE27DEC31-1989
The Art Of Loving
kalshi · KXMUSICREPORT-TOPCDSALE27DEC31-ART
Dandelion
kalshi · KXMUSICREPORT-TOPCDSALE27DEC31-DAN
DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS
kalshi · KXMUSICREPORT-TOPCDSALE27DEC31-DEB
The Fall Off
kalshi · KXMUSICREPORT-TOPCDSALE27DEC31-FAL
Folklore
kalshi · KXMUSICREPORT-TOPCDSALE27DEC31-FOL
GNX
kalshi · KXMUSICREPORT-TOPCDSALE27DEC31-GNX
HIT ME HARD AND SOFT
kalshi · KXMUSICREPORT-TOPCDSALE27DEC31-HIT
Hurry Up Tomorrow
kalshi · KXMUSICREPORT-TOPCDSALE27DEC31-HUR
ICEMAN
kalshi · KXMUSICREPORT-TOPCDSALE27DEC31-ICE
IGOR
kalshi · KXMUSICREPORT-TOPCDSALE27DEC31-IGO
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.