SimpleFunctions

Klarna Group PLC report Above 122 million active klarna consumers in Q3 2026

Above 122 million is priced at 78¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 71¢ bid, 78¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 8 inside Will Klarna Group PLC report Above 12.

Price history

78¢ current

+34¢
50¢75¢
Jul 29, 2026Aug 9, 2026

Contract brief

If Klarna Group PLC reports Above 122000000 active klarna consumers in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 122 million

Rank

#2 of 8

Leader

Above 121 million 80¢

Range

3¢-80¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXKLAR-26NOVCONS-122000000

Aug 10, 2026, 12:08 PM UTC · 24m ago

Implied probability

78¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 10, 2026, 12:08 PM UTC · 24m ago

Bid

71¢

Ask

78¢

Spread

Reported volume

$71

Family rank

#2 of 8

8 outcomes · Will Klarna Group PLC report Above 12

Closes

Mar 10, 2027

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

71 / 78¢

Kalshi
7¢ spread
BidSize
71¢5
70¢200
38¢14
3¢3.4K
2¢44
AskSize
78¢201
94¢50
96¢395
99¢100

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Klarna Group PLC reports Above 122000000 active klarna consumers in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Mar 10, 2027

Identifier

KXKLAR-26NOVCONS-122000000

SF Signal
SF Index
211.06
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

70.4%

IY (No)

422.1%

Adj IY

211%

CRI

2

Overround

1.9%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

70.4%
422.1%
Adj IY
211%
2
Overround
1.9%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.