Kyler Murray · KXNFLFFLEADER-27QB
Kyler Murray is priced at 5¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 1¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 16 inside KXNFLFFLEADER-27QB.
Price history
5¢ current
+3¢Contract brief
If Kyler Murray finishes #1 in scoring among quarterbacks for the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Kyler Murray
Rank
#4 of 16
Leader
Josh Allen 23¢
Range
1¢-23¢
Family volume
$691
Identifier
KXNFLFFLEADER-27QB-KMURRAY1
Sep 18, 2026, 11:38 AM UTC · 6m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
1¢
Spread
1¢
Reported volume
$4K
Family rank
#4 of 16
16 outcomes · KXNFLFFLEADER-27QB
Closes
Jan 18, 2027
Family volume
$691
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 1¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Kyler Murray finishes #1 in scoring among quarterbacks for the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 18, 2027
Identifier
KXNFLFFLEADER-27QB-KMURRAY1
Event family
KXNFLFFLEADER-27QB.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$691
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Josh Allen 23¢
Current share
0%
Josh Allen
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADER-27QB-JALLEN17
Baker Mayfield
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADER-27QB-BMAYFIELD6
Caleb Williams
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADER-27QB-CWILLIAMS18
Lamar Jackson
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADER-27QB-LJACKSON8
Kyler Murray
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADER-27QB-KMURRAY1
Trevor Lawrence
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADER-27QB-TLAWRENCE16
Jayden Daniels
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADER-27QB-JDANIELS5
Jaxson Dart
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADER-27QB-JDART6
Drake Maye
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADER-27QB-DMAYE10
Bo Nix
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADER-27QB-BNIX10
Brock Purdy
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADER-27QB-BPURDY13
Dak Prescott
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADER-27QB-DPRESCOTT4
Geno Smith
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADER-27QB-GSMITH7
Joe Burrow
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADER-27QB-JBURROW9
Cam Ward
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADER-27QB-CWARD1
Fernando Mendoza
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADER-27QB-FMENDOZA15
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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World State API
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Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.