6+ goals · Will Kylian Mbappe score
6+ goals is priced at 59¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 65¢ bid, 97¢ ask, 32¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 6 inside Will Kylian Mbappe score.
Price history
59¢ current
+57¢Contract brief
If Kylian Mbappe scores 6+ goals during the entire tournament (including regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
6+ goals
Rank
#2 of 6
Leader
5+ goals 70¢
Range
2¢-70¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXWCGOALCOUNT-26KMBAPP10-6
Jun 25, 2026, 1:08 PM UTC · 22m ago
Implied probability
Bid
65¢
Ask
97¢
Spread
32¢
Reported volume
$791
Family rank
#2 of 6
6 outcomes · Will Kylian Mbappe score
Closes
Aug 2, 2026
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
65 / 97¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Kylian Mbappe scores 6+ goals during the entire tournament (including regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 2, 2026
Identifier
KXWCGOALCOUNT-26KMBAPP10-6
Event family
Will Kylian Mbappe score.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
6
Highest price
5+ goals 70¢
Current share
—
5+ goals
kalshi · KXWCGOALCOUNT-26KMBAPP10-5
6+ goals
kalshi · KXWCGOALCOUNT-26KMBAPP10-6
9+ goals
kalshi · KXWCGOALCOUNT-26KMBAPP10-9
8+ goals
kalshi · KXWCGOALCOUNT-26KMBAPP10-8
10+ goals
kalshi · KXWCGOALCOUNT-26KMBAPP10-10
7+ goals
kalshi · KXWCGOALCOUNT-26KMBAPP10-7
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.