Before the 2028-29 season · Will Kyrie Irving announce his retirement before the 20
Before the 2028-29 season is priced at 16¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 12¢ bid, 25¢ ask, 13¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 4 inside Will Kyrie Irving announce his retirement before the 20.
Price history
16¢ current
+14¢Contract brief
If Kyrie Irving announces his retirement from the NBA before the 2028-29 NBA season start date, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Before the 2028-29 season
Rank
#3 of 4
Leader
Before the 2030-31 season 40¢
Range
8¢-40¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXNBARETIRE-KIRVING11-2829
Jun 25, 2026, 9:38 PM UTC · 22m ago
Implied probability
Bid
12¢
Ask
25¢
Spread
13¢
Reported volume
$342
Family rank
#3 of 4
4 outcomes · Will Kyrie Irving announce his retirement before the 20
Closes
Nov 15, 2028
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
12 / 25¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Kyrie Irving announces his retirement from the NBA before the 2028-29 NBA season start date, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 15, 2028
Identifier
KXNBARETIRE-KIRVING11-2829
Event family
Will Kyrie Irving announce his retirement before the 20.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
4
Highest price
Before the 2030-31 season 40¢
Current share
—
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.