7+ goals · Will Lamine Yamal score
7+ goals is priced at 18¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 98¢ ask, 98¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 4 inside Will Lamine Yamal score.
Price history
18¢ current
+16¢Contract brief
If Lamine Yamal scores 7+ goals during the entire tournament (including regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
7+ goals
Rank
#2 of 4
Leader
4+ goals 29¢
Range
2¢-29¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXWCGOALCOUNT-26LYAMAL10-7
Jun 24, 2026, 12:38 AM UTC · 24m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
98¢
Spread
98¢
Reported volume
$2
Family rank
#2 of 4
4 outcomes · Will Lamine Yamal score
Closes
Aug 3, 2026
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 98¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Lamine Yamal scores 7+ goals during the entire tournament (including regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 3, 2026
Identifier
KXWCGOALCOUNT-26LYAMAL10-7
Event family
Will Lamine Yamal score.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
4
Highest price
4+ goals 29¢
Current share
—
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.