SimpleFunctions

Las Vegas · KXWNBA1SEED-26

Las Vegas is priced at 33¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 21¢ bid, 28¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 11 inside KXWNBA1SEED-26.

Price history

33¢ current

+20¢
25¢
Jun 19, 2026Jul 19, 2026

Contract brief

If Las Vegas is the #1 seed in the 2026 Women's Pro Basketball Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Las Vegas

Rank

#2 of 11

Leader

Minnesota 53¢

Range

1¢-53¢

Family volume

$58

Identifier

KXWNBA1SEED-26-LV

Jul 19, 2026, 7:38 PM UTC · 9m ago

Implied probability

33¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 19, 2026, 7:38 PM UTC · 9m ago

Bid

21¢

Ask

28¢

Spread

24h volume

$58

Family rank

#2 of 11

11 outcomes · KXWNBA1SEED-26

Closes

Oct 9, 2026

Family volume

$58

Orderbook snapshot

21 / 28¢

Kalshi
7¢ spread
BidSize
21¢5
20¢2
19¢63
15¢350
13¢350
AskSize
28¢28
35¢350
36¢394
39¢65
42¢86

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Las Vegas is the #1 seed in the 2026 Women's Pro Basketball Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Oct 9, 2026

Identifier

KXWNBA1SEED-26-LV

SF Signal
SF Index
1679.32
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1679.3%

IY (No)

118.7%

Adj IY

1679%

CRI

4

RV

341%

VR

0.79

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1679.3%
118.7%
Adj IY
1679%
4
RV
341%
VR
0.79
IAR
0.4/h
Overround
-0.1%

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.