Las Vegas · KXNFLDRAFT1ST-27
Las Vegas is priced at 4¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 1¢ bid, 6¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #7 of 16 inside KXNFLDRAFT1ST-27.
Price history
4¢ current
−1¢Contract brief
If Las Vegas is the team to make the 1st Overall Pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Las Vegas
Rank
#7 of 16
Leader
Arizona 22¢
Range
1¢-22¢
Family volume
$236
Identifier
KXNFLDRAFT1ST-27-LV
Aug 9, 2026, 6:41 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
1¢
Ask
6¢
Spread
5¢
Reported volume
$2K
Family rank
#7 of 16
16 outcomes · KXNFLDRAFT1ST-27
Closes
May 15, 2027
Family volume
$236
Orderbook snapshot
1 / 6¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Las Vegas is the team to make the 1st Overall Pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 15, 2027
Identifier
KXNFLDRAFT1ST-27-LV
Event family
KXNFLDRAFT1ST-27.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$236
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Arizona 22¢
Current share
0%
Arizona
kalshi · KXNFLDRAFT1ST-27-ARI
Green Bay
kalshi · KXNFLDRAFT1ST-27-GB
Miami
kalshi · KXNFLDRAFT1ST-27-MIA
New York J
kalshi · KXNFLDRAFT1ST-27-NYJ
Cleveland
kalshi · KXNFLDRAFT1ST-27-CLE
Los Angeles R
kalshi · KXNFLDRAFT1ST-27-LAR
Atlanta
kalshi · KXNFLDRAFT1ST-27-ATL
Las Vegas
kalshi · KXNFLDRAFT1ST-27-LV
Buffalo
kalshi · KXNFLDRAFT1ST-27-BUF
Carolina
kalshi · KXNFLDRAFT1ST-27-CAR
Dallas
kalshi · KXNFLDRAFT1ST-27-DAL
Detroit
kalshi · KXNFLDRAFT1ST-27-DET
Houston
kalshi · KXNFLDRAFT1ST-27-HOU
Indianapolis
kalshi · KXNFLDRAFT1ST-27-IND
Kansas City
kalshi · KXNFLDRAFT1ST-27-KC
Minnesota
kalshi · KXNFLDRAFT1ST-27-MIN
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.