Las Vegas · KXSB-27
Las Vegas is priced at 1¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 1¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #13 of 16 inside KXSB-27.
Price history
1¢ current
Contract brief
If Las Vegas wins the 2027 Pro Football Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Las Vegas
Rank
#13 of 16
Leader
Los Angeles R 15¢
Range
1¢-15¢
Family volume
$375K
Identifier
KXSB-27-LV
Aug 9, 2026, 6:17 AM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
1¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$46K
Family rank
#13 of 16
16 outcomes · KXSB-27
Closes
Feb 13, 2029
Family volume
$375K
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 1¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Las Vegas wins the 2027 Pro Football Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Feb 13, 2029
Identifier
KXSB-27-LV
Event family
KXSB-27.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$375K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Los Angeles R 15¢
Current share
12%
Los Angeles R
kalshi · KXSB-27-LAR
Buffalo
kalshi · KXSB-27-BUF
Seattle
kalshi · KXSB-27-SEA
Denver
kalshi · KXSB-27-DEN
San Francisco
kalshi · KXSB-27-SF
New England
kalshi · KXSB-27-NE
Los Angeles C
kalshi · KXSB-27-LAC
Philadelphia
kalshi · KXSB-27-PHI
Cincinnati
kalshi · KXSB-27-CIN
Dallas
kalshi · KXSB-27-DAL
Chicago
kalshi · KXSB-27-CHI
Houston
kalshi · KXSB-27-HOU
Las Vegas
kalshi · KXSB-27-LV
Washington
kalshi · KXSB-27-WAS
Pittsburgh
kalshi · KXSB-27-PIT
New York G
kalshi · KXSB-27-NYG
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
sports
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 1% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.