SimpleFunctions

Las Vegas · KXSB-27

Las Vegas is priced at 1¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 1¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #14 of 16 inside KXSB-27.

Price history

1¢ current

0¢5¢
Jun 21, 2026Jun 21, 2026

Contract brief

If Las Vegas wins the 2027 Pro Football Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Las Vegas

Rank

#14 of 16

Leader

Los Angeles R 16¢

Range

1¢-16¢

Family volume

$284K

Identifier

KXSB-27-LV

Jun 21, 2026, 9:48 AM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

1¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 21, 2026, 9:48 AM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

Ask

Spread

24h volume

$6K

Family rank

#14 of 16

16 outcomes · KXSB-27

Closes

Feb 13, 2029

Family volume

$284K

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 1¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
AskSize
2¢236K
3¢17K
4¢11K
5¢10K
100¢375K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Las Vegas wins the 2027 Pro Football Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Feb 13, 2029

Identifier

KXSB-27-LV

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.341

Observability

low

Event type

sports

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.