Layne Riggs · KXNASCARTRUCKSERIES-NTS26
Layne Riggs is priced at 35¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 30¢ bid, 35¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 16 inside KXNASCARTRUCKSERIES-NTS26.
Price history
35¢ current
+7¢Contract brief
If Layne Riggs wins the 2026 NASCAR Truck Series Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Layne Riggs
Rank
#1 of 16
Leader
Layne Riggs 30¢
Range
1¢-30¢
Family volume
$29
Identifier
KXNASCARTRUCKSERIES-NTS26-LRIG
Jul 12, 2026, 8:08 PM UTC · 3m ago
Implied probability
Bid
30¢
Ask
35¢
Spread
5¢
Reported volume
$7K
Family rank
#1 of 16
16 outcomes · KXNASCARTRUCKSERIES-NTS26
Closes
Nov 8, 2026
Family volume
$29
Orderbook snapshot
30 / 35¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Layne Riggs wins the 2026 NASCAR Truck Series Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 8, 2026
Identifier
KXNASCARTRUCKSERIES-NTS26-LRIG
Event family
KXNASCARTRUCKSERIES-NTS26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$29
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Layne Riggs 30¢
Current share
0%
Layne Riggs
kalshi · KXNASCARTRUCKSERIES-NTS26-LRIG
Kaden Honeycutt
kalshi · KXNASCARTRUCKSERIES-NTS26-KHON
Corey Heim
kalshi · KXNASCARTRUCKSERIES-NTS26-CHEI
Chandler Smith
kalshi · KXNASCARTRUCKSERIES-NTS26-CSMI
Christian Eckes
kalshi · KXNASCARTRUCKSERIES-NTS26-CECK
Cole Butcher
kalshi · KXNASCARTRUCKSERIES-NTS26-CBUT
Mini Tyrrell
kalshi · KXNASCARTRUCKSERIES-NTS26-MTYR
Clayton Green
kalshi · KXNASCARTRUCKSERIES-NTS26-CGRE
Adam Andretti
kalshi · KXNASCARTRUCKSERIES-NTS26-AAND
Grant Enfinger
kalshi · KXNASCARTRUCKSERIES-NTS26-GENF
Daniel Dye
kalshi · KXNASCARTRUCKSERIES-NTS26-DDYE
Brenden Queen
kalshi · KXNASCARTRUCKSERIES-NTS26-BQUE
Tanner Gray
kalshi · KXNASCARTRUCKSERIES-NTS26-TGRA
Justin Haley
kalshi · KXNASCARTRUCKSERIES-NTS26-JHAL
Giovanni Ruggiero
kalshi · KXNASCARTRUCKSERIES-NTS26-GRUG
Tyler Ankrum
kalshi · KXNASCARTRUCKSERIES-NTS26-TANK
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.636
Observability
direct
Event type
sports
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 35% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.