Will legislation that terminates or otherwise limits tariffs imposed by the President of the United States on Mexico passed the House before Jul 1, 2026
Will legislation that terminates or otherwise limits tariffs imposed by the President of the United States on Mexico passed the House before Jul 1, 2026 is priced at 1¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 3¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
1¢ current
Contract brief
If legislation that terminates or otherwise limits tariffs imposed by the President of the United States on Mexico has passed the House after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Will legislation that terminates or otherwise limits tariffs imposed by the President of the United States on Mexico passed the House before Jul 1, 2026
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$21K
Identifier
KXDISAPPROVETARIFF-JUL26-MEX
Jun 22, 2026, 10:15 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
3¢
Spread
3¢
Reported volume
$21K
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Jul 1, 2026
Family volume
$21K
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 3¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If legislation that terminates or otherwise limits tariffs imposed by the President of the United States on Mexico has passed the House after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 1, 2026
Identifier
KXDISAPPROVETARIFF-JUL26-MEX
Event family
This market.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$21K
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Will legislation that terminates or otherwise limits tariffs imposed by the President of the United States on Mexico passed the House before Jul 1, 2026 1¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Observability
medium
Event type
political
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.