Separate HSI from ICE · Will legislation that
Separate HSI from ICE is priced at 9¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 1¢ bid, 5¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 6 inside Will legislation that.
Price history
9¢ current
Contract brief
If legislation that transfers Homeland Security Investigations (HSI) out of ICE to establish it as a separate entity within the Department of Homeland Security has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Separate HSI from ICE
Rank
#6 of 6
Leader
Mandatory body-worn cameras 9¢
Range
1¢-9¢
Family volume
$54
Identifier
KXICEREFORM-HSI
Jul 22, 2026, 6:45 AM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
1¢
Ask
5¢
Spread
4¢
Reported volume
$927
Family rank
#6 of 6
6 outcomes · Will legislation that
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$54
Orderbook snapshot
1 / 5¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If legislation that transfers Homeland Security Investigations (HSI) out of ICE to establish it as a separate entity within the Department of Homeland Security has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXICEREFORM-HSI
Event family
Will legislation that.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$54
Outcomes
6
Highest price
Mandatory body-worn cameras 9¢
Current share
0%
Mandatory body-worn cameras
kalshi · KXICEREFORM-CAM
Mask ban
kalshi · KXICEREFORM-MASK
QR-code identification
kalshi · KXICEREFORM-QR
Visible identification
kalshi · KXICEREFORM-ID
Abolish ICE
kalshi · KXICEREFORM-ABOL
Separate HSI from ICE
kalshi · KXICEREFORM-HSI
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
political
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.