Lewis Hamilton · KXF1RACEPODIUM-BRIGP26
Lewis Hamilton is priced at 62¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 56¢ bid, 62¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 11 inside KXF1RACEPODIUM-BRIGP26.
Price history
62¢ current
+59¢Contract brief
If Lewis Hamilton finishes in the top 3 (podium finish) in the main race originally scheduled for July 5, 2026 at the 2026 British Grand Prix, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Lewis Hamilton
Rank
#3 of 11
Leader
Andrea Kimi Antonelli 74¢
Range
3¢-74¢
Family volume
$241
Identifier
KXF1RACEPODIUM-BRIGP26-HAM
Jun 23, 2026, 11:08 PM UTC · 28m ago
Implied probability
Bid
56¢
Ask
62¢
Spread
6¢
24h volume
$90
Family rank
#3 of 11
11 outcomes · KXF1RACEPODIUM-BRIGP26
Closes
Jul 19, 2026
Family volume
$241
Orderbook snapshot
56 / 62¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Lewis Hamilton finishes in the top 3 (podium finish) in the main race originally scheduled for July 5, 2026 at the 2026 British Grand Prix, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 19, 2026
Identifier
KXF1RACEPODIUM-BRIGP26-HAM
Event family
KXF1RACEPODIUM-BRIGP26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$241
Outcomes
11
Highest price
Andrea Kimi Antonelli 74¢
Current share
21%
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
kalshi · KXF1RACEPODIUM-BRIGP26-ANT
George Russell
kalshi · KXF1RACEPODIUM-BRIGP26-RUS
Lewis Hamilton
kalshi · KXF1RACEPODIUM-BRIGP26-HAM
Charles Leclerc
kalshi · KXF1RACEPODIUM-BRIGP26-LEC
Max Verstappen
kalshi · KXF1RACEPODIUM-BRIGP26-VER
Lando Norris
kalshi · KXF1RACEPODIUM-BRIGP26-NOR
Oscar Piastri
kalshi · KXF1RACEPODIUM-BRIGP26-PIA
Valtteri Bottas
kalshi · KXF1RACEPODIUM-BRIGP26-BOT
Arvid Lindblad
kalshi · KXF1RACEPODIUM-BRIGP26-LIN
Pierre Gasly
kalshi · KXF1RACEPODIUM-BRIGP26-GAS
Isack Hadjar
kalshi · KXF1RACEPODIUM-BRIGP26-HAD
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 62% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.