Lola and Sean · KXLOVEISLANDUKRANK-26AUG31R2
Lola and Sean is priced at 6¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 6¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 16 inside KXLOVEISLANDUKRANK-26AUG31R2.
Price history
6¢ current
−91¢Contract brief
If Lola and Sean finish 2nd in Love Island UK Season 13, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Lola and Sean
Rank
#1 of 16
Leader
Lola and Sean 6¢
Range
1¢-6¢
Family volume
$412
Identifier
KXLOVEISLANDUKRANK-26AUG31R2-LOSE
Jun 25, 2026, 11:38 AM UTC · 4m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
6¢
Spread
6¢
Reported volume
$816
Family rank
#1 of 16
16 outcomes · KXLOVEISLANDUKRANK-26AUG31R2
Closes
Aug 31, 2026
Family volume
$412
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 6¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Lola and Sean finish 2nd in Love Island UK Season 13, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 31, 2026
Identifier
KXLOVEISLANDUKRANK-26AUG31R2-LOSE
Event family
KXLOVEISLANDUKRANK-26AUG31R2.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$412
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Lola and Sean 6¢
Current share
0%
Lola and Sean
kalshi · KXLOVEISLANDUKRANK-26AUG31R2-LOSE
Jasmine and Lorenzo
kalshi · KXLOVEISLANDUKRANK-26AUG31R2-JALO
Robyn and George
kalshi · KXLOVEISLANDUKRANK-26AUG31R2-ROGE
Ellie and George
kalshi · KXLOVEISLANDUKRANK-26AUG31R2-ELGE
Jasmine and George
kalshi · KXLOVEISLANDUKRANK-26AUG31R2-JAGE
Mica and George
kalshi · KXLOVEISLANDUKRANK-26AUG31R2-MIGE
Mica and Samraj
kalshi · KXLOVEISLANDUKRANK-26AUG31R2-MISA
Ellie and Finley
kalshi · KXLOVEISLANDUKRANK-26AUG31R2-ELFI
Angelista and Aidan
kalshi · KXLOVEISLANDUKRANK-26AUG31R2-ANAI
Angelista and Chidi
kalshi · KXLOVEISLANDUKRANK-26AUG31R2-ANCH
Angelista and Lorenzo
kalshi · KXLOVEISLANDUKRANK-26AUG31R2-ANLO
Angelista and Simba
kalshi · KXLOVEISLANDUKRANK-26AUG31R2-ANSI
Lola and George
kalshi · KXLOVEISLANDUKRANK-26AUG31R2-LOGE
Mica and Aidan
kalshi · KXLOVEISLANDUKRANK-26AUG31R2-MIAI
Mica and Sam
kalshi · KXLOVEISLANDUKRANK-26AUG31R2-MISAM
Angelista and George
kalshi · KXLOVEISLANDUKRANK-26AUG31R2-ANGE
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
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Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 6% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.