SimpleFunctions

Regular Season · Will Los Angeles C

Regular Season is priced at 40¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 33¢ bid, 46¢ ask, 13¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 6 inside Will Los Angeles C.

Price history

40¢ current

+14¢
30¢40¢
Jul 20, 2026Aug 2, 2026

Contract brief

If the Los Angeles C Pro Football team is eliminated in the Regular Season in the 2026-27 Pro Football season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Regular Season

Rank

#1 of 6

Leader

Regular Season 33¢

Range

1¢-33¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXNFLSTAGEOFELIM-27LAC-REG

Aug 4, 2026, 1:08 PM UTC · 7m ago

Implied probability

40¢
Bid/ask midpoint
Aug 4, 2026, 1:08 PM UTC · 7m ago

Bid

33¢

Ask

46¢

Spread

13¢

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

#1 of 6

6 outcomes · Will Los Angeles C

Closes

Mar 7, 2027

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

33 / 46¢

Kalshi
13¢ spread
BidSize
33¢1.8K
32¢5.5K
27¢300
18¢90
2¢5.0K
AskSize
46¢1.8K
48¢3.5K
61¢90
88¢4.2K
95¢7

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the Los Angeles C Pro Football team is eliminated in the Regular Season in the 2026-27 Pro Football season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Mar 7, 2027

Identifier

KXNFLSTAGEOFELIM-27LAC-REG

SF Signal
SF Index
344.56
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

344.6%

IY (No)

83.6%

Adj IY

345%

CRI

2

RV

630%

VR

3.19

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

344.6%
83.6%
Adj IY
345%
2
RV
630%
VR
3.19
IAR
1.2/h
Overround
-0.5%

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SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.