Mac Meissner · KXPGATOUR-ROC26
Mac Meissner is priced at 1¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 1¢ bid, 1¢ ask, 0¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 16 inside KXPGATOUR-ROC26.
Price history
1¢ current
Contract brief
If Mac Meissner wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Mac Meissner
Rank
#5 of 16
Leader
Jackson Koivun 3¢
Range
1¢-3¢
Family volume
$4.4M
Identifier
KXPGATOUR-ROC26-MMEI
Jul 27, 2026, 6:48 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
1¢
Ask
1¢
Spread
0¢
24h volume
$306K
Family rank
#5 of 16
16 outcomes · KXPGATOUR-ROC26
Closes
Aug 16, 2026
Family volume
$4.4M
Orderbook snapshot
1 / 1¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Mac Meissner wins the Rocket Classic, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 16, 2026
Identifier
KXPGATOUR-ROC26-MMEI
Event family
KXPGATOUR-ROC26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$4.4M
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Jackson Koivun 3¢
Current share
7%
Jackson Koivun
kalshi · KXPGATOUR-ROC26-JKOI
Ben Griffin
kalshi · KXPGATOUR-ROC26-BGRI
Jake Knapp
kalshi · KXPGATOUR-ROC26-JKNA
Michael Thorbjornsen
kalshi · KXPGATOUR-ROC26-MTHO
Jordan L. Smith
kalshi · KXPGATOUR-ROC26-JSMI
Sungjae Im
kalshi · KXPGATOUR-ROC26-SIM
Mac Meissner
kalshi · KXPGATOUR-ROC26-MMEI
Billy Horschel
kalshi · KXPGATOUR-ROC26-BHOR
Corey Conners
kalshi · KXPGATOUR-ROC26-CCON
Davis Thompson
kalshi · KXPGATOUR-ROC26-DTHO
Andrew Novak
kalshi · KXPGATOUR-ROC26-ANOV
Ryo Hisatsune
kalshi · KXPGATOUR-ROC26-RHIS
Benjamin James
kalshi · KXPGATOUR-ROC26-BJAM
Doug Ghim
kalshi · KXPGATOUR-ROC26-DGHI
Aldrich Potgieter
kalshi · KXPGATOUR-ROC26-APOT
William Mouw
kalshi · KXPGATOUR-ROC26-WMOU
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity
How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity
Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.
Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets
Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)
Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.
US Recession 2025? What 1% Prediction Market Odds Get Right—and Wrong—About the Cycle
Prediction markets put 2025 US recession odds near 1%, while yield curves, economic indicators, and institutional forecasts point to much higher risk. This deep dive compares market pricing to historical base rates, Federal Reserve policy, and forecasting models to see if investors are underpricing recession risk.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 1% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.