Will Maria Sakkari win set 1 in the Linda Noskova vs Maria Sakkari match
Will Maria Sakkari win set 1 in the Linda Noskova vs Maria Sakkari match is priced at 35¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 30¢ bid, 40¢ ask, 10¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
35¢ current
+6¢Contract brief
If Maria Sakkari wins set 1 in the Linda Noskova vs Maria Sakkari professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Women Singles Round Of 128, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Will Maria Sakkari win set 1 in the Linda Noskova vs Maria Sakkari match
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXWTASETWINNER-26MAY24NOSSAK-1-SAK
May 25, 2026, 2:05 AM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
30¢
Ask
40¢
Spread
10¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Jun 7, 2026
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
30 / 40¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Maria Sakkari wins set 1 in the Linda Noskova vs Maria Sakkari professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Women Singles Round Of 128, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 7, 2026
Identifier
KXWTASETWINNER-26MAY24NOSSAK-1-SAK
Event family
This market.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Will Maria Sakkari win set 1 in the Linda Noskova vs Maria Sakkari match 35¢
Current share
—
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.