Matt Fitzpatrick · KXPGATOUR-TRAV26
Matt Fitzpatrick is priced at 3¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 3¢ bid, 3¢ ask, 0¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 16 inside KXPGATOUR-TRAV26.
Price history
3¢ current
+1¢Contract brief
If Matt Fitzpatrick wins the Travelers Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Matt Fitzpatrick
Rank
#1 of 16
Leader
Matt Fitzpatrick 3¢
Range
1¢-3¢
Family volume
$990K
Identifier
KXPGATOUR-TRAV26-MFIT
Jun 22, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 2m ago
Implied probability
Bid
3¢
Ask
3¢
Spread
0¢
24h volume
$5K
Family rank
#1 of 16
16 outcomes · KXPGATOUR-TRAV26
Closes
Jul 12, 2026
Family volume
$990K
Orderbook snapshot
3 / 3¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Matt Fitzpatrick wins the Travelers Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 12, 2026
Identifier
KXPGATOUR-TRAV26-MFIT
Event family
KXPGATOUR-TRAV26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$990K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Matt Fitzpatrick 3¢
Current share
0%
Si Woo Kim
kalshi · KXPGATOUR-TRAV26-WKIM
Russell Henley
kalshi · KXPGATOUR-TRAV26-RHEN
Matt Fitzpatrick
kalshi · KXPGATOUR-TRAV26-MFIT
Aaron Rai
kalshi · KXPGATOUR-TRAV26-ARAI
J.J. Spaun
kalshi · KXPGATOUR-TRAV26-JSPA
Viktor Hovland
kalshi · KXPGATOUR-TRAV26-VHOV
Wyndham Clark
kalshi · KXPGATOUR-TRAV26-WCLA
Keegan Bradley
kalshi · KXPGATOUR-TRAV26-KBRA
Bud Cauley
kalshi · KXPGATOUR-TRAV26-BCAU
J.T. Poston
kalshi · KXPGATOUR-TRAV26-JPOS
Justin Rose
kalshi · KXPGATOUR-TRAV26-JROS
Hideki Matsuyama
kalshi · KXPGATOUR-TRAV26-HMAT
Sahith Theegala
kalshi · KXPGATOUR-TRAV26-STHE
Brian Harman
kalshi · KXPGATOUR-TRAV26-BHAR
Alex Fitzpatrick
kalshi · KXPGATOUR-TRAV26-AFIT
Kurt Kitayama
kalshi · KXPGATOUR-TRAV26-KKIT
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
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Market Screener
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.