SimpleFunctions

Melody Morris · KXBIGBROTHERELIMINATION-26JUL16

Melody Morris is priced at 16¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 2¢ bid, 4¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #11 of 16 inside KXBIGBROTHERELIMINATION-26JUL16.

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Price history

16¢ current

−33¢
0¢25¢50¢
Jul 10, 2026Jul 11, 2026

Contract brief

If Melody Morris is officially eliminated from Big Brother Season 28 Before Jul 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Melody Morris

Rank

#11 of 16

Leader

Mallory Aurichio 43¢

Range

1¢-43¢

Family volume

$10K

Identifier

KXBIGBROTHERELIMINATION-26JUL16-MEL

Jul 11, 2026, 1:38 AM UTC · 34m ago

Implied probability

16¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 11, 2026, 1:38 AM UTC · 34m ago

Bid

2¢

Ask

4¢

Spread

2¢

24h volume

$108

Family rank

#11 of 16

16 outcomes · KXBIGBROTHERELIMINATION-26JUL16

Closes

Jul 17, 2026

Family volume

$10K

Orderbook snapshot

2 / 4¢

Kalshi
2¢ spread
BidSize
100¢1.0K
2¢200
AskSize
4¢193
5¢502
16¢5
36¢25
39¢7

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Melody Morris is officially eliminated from Big Brother Season 28 Before Jul 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 17, 2026

Identifier

KXBIGBROTHERELIMINATION-26JUL16-MEL

SF Signal
SF Index
100000.00
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXBIGBROTHERELIMINATION-26JUL16.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$10K

Outcomes

16

Highest price

Mallory Aurichio 43¢

Current share

1%

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

Mallory Aurichio

kalshi · KXBIGBROTHERELIMINATION-26JUL16-MAL

43¢
$483$483—

Taylor Brown

kalshi · KXBIGBROTHERELIMINATION-26JUL16-TAY

43¢
$336$336—

Yash Patel

kalshi · KXBIGBROTHERELIMINATION-26JUL16-YAS

32¢
$457$457—

Drew Campbell

kalshi · KXBIGBROTHERELIMINATION-26JUL16-DRE

14¢
$334$3340.5

Haley Thogmartin

kalshi · KXBIGBROTHERELIMINATION-26JUL16-HAL

13¢
$46$46—

Ashley Trail

kalshi · KXBIGBROTHERELIMINATION-26JUL16-ASH

11¢
$249$249—

Kamu Kirk

kalshi · KXBIGBROTHERELIMINATION-26JUL16-KAM

9¢
$175$175—

Barrett Pfeiffer

kalshi · KXBIGBROTHERELIMINATION-26JUL16-BAR

9¢
$63$63—

LaTrice Verrett

kalshi · KXBIGBROTHERELIMINATION-26JUL16-LAT

6¢
$54$54—

Angela Murray

kalshi · KXBIGBROTHERELIMINATION-26JUL16-ANG

5¢
$73$73—

Rome Seymour

kalshi · KXBIGBROTHERELIMINATION-26JUL16-ROM

2¢
$3K$3K—

Chuk Anyanwu

kalshi · KXBIGBROTHERELIMINATION-26JUL16-CHU

2¢
$2K$2K—

Lyric Medeiros

kalshi · KXBIGBROTHERELIMINATION-26JUL16-LYR

2¢
$503$492—

Melody Morris

kalshi · KXBIGBROTHERELIMINATION-26JUL16-MEL

2¢
$108$108—

Rick Devens

kalshi · KXBIGBROTHERELIMINATION-26JUL16-RIC

2¢
$52$31—

Jason De Puy

kalshi · KXBIGBROTHERELIMINATION-26JUL16-JAS

1¢
$2K$2K—

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

CRI

24

VR

13.84

IAR

2.0/h

Overround

0.9%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

CRI
24
VR
13.84
IAR
2.0/h
Overround
0.9%

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Event Probability API

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.