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MercadoLibre, Inc. report Above 99 million fintech monthly active users in fiscal 2026

Above 99 million is priced at 63¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 58¢ bid, 68¢ ask, 10¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 9 inside Will MercadoLibre, Inc. report Above.

Price history

63¢ current

+5¢
0¢25¢50¢
Aug 25, 2026Sep 24, 2026

Contract brief

If MercadoLibre, Inc. reports Above 99000000 fintech monthly active users in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 99 million

Rank

#4 of 9

Leader

Above 96 million 86¢

Range

4¢-86¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXMELIA-27FEBFINMAU-99000000

Sep 24, 2026, 11:08 AM UTC · 9m ago

Implied probability

63¢
Bid/ask midpoint
Sep 24, 2026, 11:08 AM UTC · 9m ago

Bid

58¢

Ask

68¢

Spread

10¢

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

#4 of 9

9 outcomes · Will MercadoLibre, Inc. report Above

Closes

May 24, 2027

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

58 / 68¢

Kalshi
10¢ spread
BidSize
100¢50
58¢200
13¢537
AskSize
68¢200
96¢627
98¢45
99¢50

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If MercadoLibre, Inc. reports Above 99000000 fintech monthly active users in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 24, 2027

Identifier

KXMELIA-27FEBFINMAU-99000000

SF Signal
SF Index
104.25
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

109.3%

IY (No)

208.5%

Adj IY

104%

CRI

1

Overround

3.0%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

109.3%
208.5%
Adj IY
104%
1
Overround
3.0%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.