Meryl Streep · KXGGNOM-CACTR26
Meryl Streep is priced at 61¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 61¢ bid, 72¢ ask, 11¢ spread. This outcome ranks #7 of 10 inside KXGGNOM-CACTR26.
Price history
61¢ current
+47¢Contract brief
If Meryl Streep is on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Meryl Streep
Rank
#7 of 10
Leader
Julianne Moore 90¢
Range
9¢-90¢
Family volume
$4K
Identifier
KXGGNOM-CACTR26-MSTR
Sep 23, 2026, 2:08 AM UTC · 5m ago
Implied probability
Bid
61¢
Ask
72¢
Spread
11¢
Reported volume
$600
Family rank
#7 of 10
10 outcomes · KXGGNOM-CACTR26
Closes
Dec 8, 2027
Family volume
$4K
Orderbook snapshot
61 / 72¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Meryl Streep is on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 8, 2027
Identifier
KXGGNOM-CACTR26-MSTR
Event family
KXGGNOM-CACTR26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$4K
Outcomes
10
Highest price
Julianne Moore 90¢
Current share
0%
Julianne Moore
kalshi · KXGGNOM-CACTR26-JMOR
Olivia Wilde
kalshi · KXGGNOM-CACTR26-OWIL
Zendaya
kalshi · KXGGNOM-CACTR26-ZEN
Rachel McAdams
kalshi · KXGGNOM-CACTR26-RMCA
Olivia Colman
kalshi · KXGGNOM-CACTR26-OCOL
Rosalind Eleazar
kalshi · KXGGNOM-CACTR26-RELE
Meryl Streep
kalshi · KXGGNOM-CACTR26-MSTR
Anne Hathaway
kalshi · KXGGNOM-CACTR26-AHAT
Jodie Comer
kalshi · KXGGNOM-CACTR26-JCOM
Natalie Portman
kalshi · KXGGNOM-CACTR26-NPOR
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 61% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.