Mica and Aidan · KXLIUKCOUPLE-26AUG31
Mica and Aidan is priced at 48¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 4¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 16 inside KXLIUKCOUPLE-26AUG31.
Price history
48¢ current
Contract brief
If Mica and Aidan are officially declared the winner of Love Island UK Season 13, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Mica and Aidan
Rank
#1 of 16
Leader
Mica and Aidan 48¢
Range
1¢-48¢
Family volume
$2K
Identifier
KXLIUKCOUPLE-26AUG31-MIAI
Jun 24, 2026, 12:08 PM UTC · 15m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
4¢
Spread
4¢
24h volume
$10
Family rank
#1 of 16
16 outcomes · KXLIUKCOUPLE-26AUG31
Closes
Sep 7, 2026
Family volume
$2K
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 4¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Mica and Aidan are officially declared the winner of Love Island UK Season 13, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Sep 7, 2026
Identifier
KXLIUKCOUPLE-26AUG31-MIAI
Event family
KXLIUKCOUPLE-26AUG31.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$2K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Mica and Aidan 48¢
Current share
0%
Mica and Aidan
kalshi · KXLIUKCOUPLE-26AUG31-MIAI
Jasmine and Ope
kalshi · KXLIUKCOUPLE-26AUG31-JAOP
Lola and Finley
kalshi · KXLIUKCOUPLE-26AUG31-LOFI
Namibia and Ope
kalshi · KXLIUKCOUPLE-26AUG31-NAOP
Tina and Finley
kalshi · KXLIUKCOUPLE-26AUG31-TIFI
Priya and Simba
kalshi · KXLIUKCOUPLE-26AUG31-PRSI
Halle and Finley
kalshi · KXLIUKCOUPLE-26AUG31-HAFI
Lola and George
kalshi · KXLIUKCOUPLE-26AUG31-LOGE
Lola and Sean
kalshi · KXLIUKCOUPLE-26AUG31-LOSE
Ellie and Finley
kalshi · KXLIUKCOUPLE-26AUG31-ELFI
Ellie and Simba
kalshi · KXLIUKCOUPLE-26AUG31-ELSI
Mica and Simba
kalshi · KXLIUKCOUPLE-26AUG31-MISI
Yasmine and Lorenzo
kalshi · KXLIUKCOUPLE-26AUG31-YALO
Ellie and Aidan
kalshi · KXLIUKCOUPLE-26AUG31-ELAI
Jasmine and Kavan
kalshi · KXLIUKCOUPLE-26AUG31-JAKA
Jasmine and Lorenzo
kalshi · KXLIUKCOUPLE-26AUG31-JALO
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 48% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.