Michigan · KXMARMADSEED-27T2
Michigan is priced at 20¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 5¢ bid, 34¢ ask, 29¢ spread. This outcome ranks #13 of 16 inside KXMARMADSEED-27T2.
Price history
20¢ current
+14¢Contract brief
If the Michigan men's college basketball team is selected as a top 2 seed in the 2027 Division I Men's College Basketball Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Michigan
Rank
#13 of 16
Leader
Florida 61¢
Range
4¢-61¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXMARMADSEED-27T2-MICH
Sep 22, 2026, 2:08 AM UTC · 35m ago
Implied probability
Bid
5¢
Ask
34¢
Spread
29¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#13 of 16
16 outcomes · KXMARMADSEED-27T2
Closes
May 2, 2027
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
5 / 34¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the Michigan men's college basketball team is selected as a top 2 seed in the 2027 Division I Men's College Basketball Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 2, 2027
Identifier
KXMARMADSEED-27T2-MICH
Event family
KXMARMADSEED-27T2.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Florida 61¢
Current share
—
Florida
kalshi · KXMARMADSEED-27T2-FLA
Duke
kalshi · KXMARMADSEED-27T2-DUKE
Illinois
kalshi · KXMARMADSEED-27T2-ILL
UConn
kalshi · KXMARMADSEED-27T2-CONN
Houston
kalshi · KXMARMADSEED-27T2-HOU
Texas
kalshi · KXMARMADSEED-27T2-TEX
Arizona
kalshi · KXMARMADSEED-27T2-ARIZ
Louisville
kalshi · KXMARMADSEED-27T2-LOU
Michigan St.
kalshi · KXMARMADSEED-27T2-MSU
Arkansas
kalshi · KXMARMADSEED-27T2-ARK
Kansas
kalshi · KXMARMADSEED-27T2-KU
Gonzaga
kalshi · KXMARMADSEED-27T2-GONZ
Michigan
kalshi · KXMARMADSEED-27T2-MICH
Virginia
kalshi · KXMARMADSEED-27T2-UVA
Texas Tech
kalshi · KXMARMADSEED-27T2-TTU
Tennessee
kalshi · KXMARMADSEED-27T2-TENN
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.