Democrats sweep to win Will Michigan Governor
Democrats sweep is priced at 58¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 57¢ bid, 60¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 4 inside Will Michigan Governor winner.
Price history
58¢ current
−10¢Contract brief
If ALL of the following occur: Michigan Governor winner: Democratic party, Michigan Senate winner: Democratic party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Democrats sweep
Rank
#1 of 4
Leader
Democrats sweep 57¢
Range
1¢-57¢
Family volume
$2K
Identifier
KXMISENGOVCOMBO-26NOV-DEMDEM
Aug 9, 2026, 8:39 PM UTC · 10m ago
Implied probability
Bid
57¢
Ask
60¢
Spread
3¢
24h volume
$761
Family rank
#1 of 4
4 outcomes · Will Michigan Governor winner
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Family volume
$2K
Orderbook snapshot
57 / 60¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If ALL of the following occur: Michigan Governor winner: Democratic party, Michigan Senate winner: Democratic party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Identifier
KXMISENGOVCOMBO-26NOV-DEMDEM
Event family
Will Michigan Governor winner.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$2K
Outcomes
4
Highest price
Democrats sweep 57¢
Current share
50%
Democrats sweep
kalshi · KXMISENGOVCOMBO-26NOV-DEMDEM
Democratic Governor, Republican Senator
kalshi · KXMISENGOVCOMBO-26NOV-DEMREP
Republicans sweep
kalshi · KXMISENGOVCOMBO-26NOV-REPREP
Republican Governor, Democratic Senator
kalshi · KXMISENGOVCOMBO-26NOV-REPDEM
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.