SimpleFunctions

Minnesota · KXNBASUMMER-26

Minnesota is priced at 11¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 6¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 16 inside KXNBASUMMER-26.

Price history

11¢ current

24¢
25¢
Jul 8, 2026Jul 11, 2026

Contract brief

If Minnesota wins the 2026 Pro Basketball Summer League championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Minnesota

Rank

#5 of 16

Leader

Los Angeles L 25¢

Range

1¢-25¢

Family volume

$18K

Identifier

KXNBASUMMER-26-MIN

Jul 12, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC · 7h ago

Implied probability

11¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 12, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC · 7h ago

Bid

Ask

Spread

24h volume

$24

Family rank

#5 of 16

16 outcomes · KXNBASUMMER-26

Closes

Jul 27, 2026

Family volume

$18K

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 6¢

Kalshi
6¢ spread
BidSize
AskSize
6¢979
7¢3.6K
9¢315
13¢1.0K
19¢500

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Minnesota wins the 2026 Pro Basketball Summer League championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 27, 2026

Identifier

KXNBASUMMER-26-MIN

SF Signal
SF Index
9861.69
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

19723.4%

IY (No)

301.3%

Adj IY

9862%

CRI

8

Overround

1.9%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

19723.4%
301.3%
Adj IY
9862%
8
Overround
1.9%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.