SimpleFunctions

Morocco score at least 9 goals in the full tournament of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup

9+ goals is priced at 45¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 24¢ bid, 65¢ ask, 41¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 3 inside Will Morocco score at least.

Price history

45¢ current

+32¢
0¢25¢50¢
Jun 9, 2026Jun 21, 2026

Contract brief

If Morocco records at least 9 goals during the full tournament (including regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

9+ goals

Rank

#3 of 3

Leader

5+ goals 69¢

Range

18¢-69¢

Family volume

$15

Identifier

KXWCTEAMTOTALGOALS-26MAR-9

Jun 21, 2026, 12:38 PM UTC · 11m ago

Implied probability

45¢
Bid/ask midpoint
Jun 21, 2026, 12:38 PM UTC · 11m ago

Bid

24¢

Ask

65¢

Spread

41¢

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

#3 of 3

3 outcomes · Will Morocco score at least

Closes

Aug 3, 2026

Family volume

$15

Orderbook snapshot

24 / 65¢

Kalshi
41¢ spread
BidSize
100¢1.6K
24¢386
22¢773
2¢45
AskSize
65¢290
66¢386
67¢773
80¢10
97¢48

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Morocco records at least 9 goals during the full tournament (including regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 3, 2026

Identifier

KXWCTEAMTOTALGOALS-26MAR-9

SF Signal
SF Index
0.00
Regime
neutral

Event family

Will Morocco score at least.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$15

Outcomes

3

Highest price

5+ goals 69¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

7719.2%

IY (No)

95.3%

Adj IY

0%

CRI

9

RV

8496%

VR

3.02

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

7719.2%
95.3%
Adj IY
0%
9
RV
8496%
VR
3.02
IAR
1.7/h
Overround
0.1%
LAS
4.30

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SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.