Will Munetaka Murakami be selected to the 2026 Pro Baseball Home Run Derby
Will Munetaka Murakami be selected to the 2026 Pro Baseball Home Run Derby is priced at 99¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 100¢ ask, 100¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
99¢ current
+91¢Contract brief
If Munetaka Murakami is selected as a participant in the 2026 Pro Baseball Home Run Derby, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Will Munetaka Murakami be selected to the 2026 Pro Baseball Home Run Derby
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$29K
Identifier
KXMLBHRDERBYQUAL-26-MMURAKAMI5
Jul 13, 2026, 12:37 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
100¢
Spread
100¢
Reported volume
$29K
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Jul 11, 2026
Family volume
$29K
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 100¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Munetaka Murakami is selected as a participant in the 2026 Pro Baseball Home Run Derby, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 11, 2026
Identifier
KXMLBHRDERBYQUAL-26-MMURAKAMI5
Event family
This market.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$29K
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Will Munetaka Murakami be selected to the 2026 Pro Baseball Home Run Derby 99¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
sports
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Event Probability API
Read 99% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
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World State API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.