Nancy Mace · KXSCRSENSRUN-26
Nancy Mace is priced at 64¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 63¢ bid, 64¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 9 inside KXSCRSENSRUN-26.
Price history
64¢ current
+15¢Contract brief
If Nancy Mace has announced that they will run for the Class 2 United States Senate seat from South Carolina in 2026 before Aug 11, 2026, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Nancy Mace
Rank
#3 of 9
Leader
Russell Fry 89¢
Range
2¢-89¢
Family volume
$6K
Identifier
KXSCRSENSRUN-26-26AUG11-NMAC
Jul 14, 2026, 2:08 AM UTC · 6m ago
Implied probability
Bid
63¢
Ask
64¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$709
Family rank
#3 of 9
9 outcomes · KXSCRSENSRUN-26
Closes
Aug 11, 2026
Family volume
$6K
Orderbook snapshot
63 / 64¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Nancy Mace has announced that they will run for the Class 2 United States Senate seat from South Carolina in 2026 before Aug 11, 2026, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 11, 2026
Identifier
KXSCRSENSRUN-26-26AUG11-NMAC
Event family
KXSCRSENSRUN-26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$6K
Outcomes
9
Highest price
Russell Fry 89¢
Current share
11%
Russell Fry
kalshi · KXSCRSENSRUN-26-26AUG11-RFRY
Ralph Norman
kalshi · KXSCRSENSRUN-26-26AUG11-RNOR
Nancy Mace
kalshi · KXSCRSENSRUN-26-26AUG11-NMAC
Pamela Evette
kalshi · KXSCRSENSRUN-26-26AUG11-PEVE
Trey Gowdy
kalshi · KXSCRSENSRUN-26-26AUG11-TGOW
Darline Graham Nordone
kalshi · KXSCRSENSRUN-26-26AUG11-DNOR
Henry McMaster
kalshi · KXSCRSENSRUN-26-26AUG11-HMCM
Scott Bessent
kalshi · KXSCRSENSRUN-26-26AUG11-SBES
Nikki Haley
kalshi · KXSCRSENSRUN-26-26AUG11-NHAL
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.