Neutrality Initiative · KXSWISSREF-26SEP26
Neutrality Initiative is priced at 24¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 24¢ bid, 25¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside KXSWISSREF-26SEP26.
Price history
24¢ current
+1¢Contract brief
If the Neutrality Initiative passes as part of the September 2026 Swiss election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Neutrality Initiative
Rank
#1 of 2
Leader
Neutrality Initiative 24¢
Range
6¢-24¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXSWISSREF-26SEP26-NEU
Jul 11, 2026, 11:38 AM UTC · 30m ago
Implied probability
Bid
24¢
Ask
25¢
Spread
1¢
Reported volume
$679
Family rank
#1 of 2
2 outcomes · KXSWISSREF-26SEP26
Closes
Sep 26, 2027
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
24 / 25¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the Neutrality Initiative passes as part of the September 2026 Swiss election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Sep 26, 2027
Identifier
KXSWISSREF-26SEP26-NEU
Event family
KXSWISSREF-26SEP26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Neutrality Initiative 24¢
Current share
—
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.