SimpleFunctions

Wildcard Round · Will New England

Wildcard Round is priced at 31¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 21¢ bid, 29¢ ask, 8¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 6 inside Will New England.

Price history

31¢ current

+12¢
20¢30¢
Aug 22, 2026Sep 18, 2026

Contract brief

If the New England Pro Football team is eliminated in the Wildcard Round in the 2026-27 Pro Football season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Wildcard Round

Rank

#2 of 6

Leader

Regular Season 40¢

Range

1¢-40¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXNFLSTAGEOFELIM-27NE-WC

Sep 21, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 2m ago

Implied probability

31¢
Latest venue quote
Sep 21, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 2m ago

Bid

21¢

Ask

29¢

Spread

Reported volume

$166

Family rank

#2 of 6

6 outcomes · Will New England

Closes

Mar 7, 2027

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

21 / 29¢

Kalshi
8¢ spread
BidSize
21¢5
AskSize
29¢1.0K
71¢1.4K
96¢13
97¢711
98¢150

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the New England Pro Football team is eliminated in the Wildcard Round in the 2026-27 Pro Football season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Mar 7, 2027

Identifier

KXNFLSTAGEOFELIM-27NE-WC

SF Signal
SF Index
254.83
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

823.4%

IY (No)

58.2%

Adj IY

255%

CRI

4

Overround

-0.2%

LAS

0.38

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

823.4%
58.2%
Adj IY
255%
4
Overround
-0.2%
LAS
0.38

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.