SimpleFunctions

New England · KXNFLSEED-27AFC5

New England is priced at 13¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 2¢ bid, 12¢ ask, 10¢ spread. This outcome ranks #9 of 12 inside KXNFLSEED-27AFC5.

Price history

13¢ current

+11¢
0¢10¢
Aug 22, 2026Sep 11, 2026

Contract brief

If New England is the #5 seed in the American Football Conference in the 2026-27 Pro Football playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

New England

Rank

#9 of 12

Leader

Buffalo 12¢

Range

2¢-12¢

Family volume

$565

Identifier

KXNFLSEED-27AFC5-NE

Sep 11, 2026, 10:48 PM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

13¢
Latest venue quote
Sep 11, 2026, 10:48 PM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

Ask

12¢

Spread

10¢

Reported volume

$73

Family rank

#9 of 12

12 outcomes · KXNFLSEED-27AFC5

Closes

Feb 7, 2027

Family volume

$565

Orderbook snapshot

2 / 12¢

Kalshi
10¢ spread
BidSize
2¢1.3K
AskSize
12¢1.3K
27¢100
44¢200
49¢200
54¢200

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If New England is the #5 seed in the American Football Conference in the 2026-27 Pro Football playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Feb 7, 2027

Identifier

KXNFLSEED-27AFC5-NE

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

Opinionanalysis

Implied Yield vs Raw Probability: Why Bond-Adjacent Prediction Markets Need a Different Lens

Why fixed-income-adjacent prediction-market contracts need to be priced in implied yield, not raw probability, with two real Kalshi Fed-decision contracts as a case study.

Blogtech

MCP Servers for Prediction Markets: Connect Claude Code to Kalshi and Polymarket

Connect Claude Code, Cursor, or Cline to Kalshi and Polymarket prediction markets via MCP. One-line setup, 18 tools, real-time market data for AI agents.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.