SimpleFunctions

New Orleans · KXNFLGAME-26SEP13NODET

New Orleans is priced at 27¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 25¢ bid, 27¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside KXNFLGAME-26SEP13NODET.

Price history

27¢ current

+3¢
20¢30¢
May 16, 2026May 26, 2026

Contract brief

If New Orleans wins the New Orleans vs Detroit professional football game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

New Orleans

Rank

#2 of 2

Leader

Detroit 73¢

Range

25¢-73¢

Family volume

$201

Identifier

KXNFLGAME-26SEP13NODET-NO

May 28, 2026, 6:08 AM UTC · 26m ago

Implied probability

27¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 6:08 AM UTC · 26m ago

Bid

25¢

Ask

27¢

Spread

24h volume

$176

Family rank

#2 of 2

2 outcomes · KXNFLGAME-26SEP13NODET

Closes

Sep 15, 2026

Family volume

$201

Orderbook snapshot

25 / 27¢

Kalshi
2¢ spread
BidSize
25¢200
24¢105
23¢488
22¢6
16¢25
AskSize
27¢240
28¢34
35¢100
38¢410
39¢483

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If New Orleans wins the New Orleans vs Detroit professional football game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Sep 15, 2026

Identifier

KXNFLGAME-26SEP13NODET-NO

SF Signal
SF Index
495.69
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXNFLGAME-26SEP13NODET.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$201

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Detroit 73¢

Current share

88%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

991.4%
110.2%
Adj IY
496%
3

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.