SimpleFunctions

Will Ninjas in Pyjamas win the Ninjas in Pyjamas vs. LOUD R6 match

Will Ninjas in Pyjamas win the Ninjas in Pyjamas vs. LOUD R6 match is priced at 84¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 80¢ bid, 83¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.

Price history

84¢ current

+20¢
60¢70¢80¢
Jul 19, 2026Jul 20, 2026

Contract brief

If Ninjas in Pyjamas wins the South America League Stage 1 2026: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs. LOUD R6 match originally scheduled for Jul 22, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Will Ninjas in Pyjamas win the Ninjas in Pyjamas vs. LOUD R6 match

Rank

Standalone

Leader

Range

Family volume

$17K

Identifier

KXR6GAME-26JUL221300NIPLOUD-NIP

Jul 22, 2026, 7:12 PM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

84¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 22, 2026, 7:12 PM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

80¢

Ask

83¢

Spread

24h volume

$16K

Family rank

Standalone

Standalone contract

Closes

Jul 24, 2026

Family volume

$17K

Orderbook snapshot

80 / 83¢

Kalshi
3¢ spread
BidSize
80¢1
79¢2
78¢1
77¢22
75¢4
AskSize
83¢5
84¢19
85¢14
86¢17
87¢57

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Ninjas in Pyjamas wins the South America League Stage 1 2026: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs. LOUD R6 match originally scheduled for Jul 22, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 24, 2026

Identifier

KXR6GAME-26JUL221300NIPLOUD-NIP

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Event family

This market.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$17K

Outcomes

1

Highest price

Will Ninjas in Pyjamas win the Ninjas in Pyjamas vs. LOUD R6 match 84¢

Current share

100%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.