SimpleFunctions

No Goal · KXWCFTTS-26JUN26URUESP

No Goal is priced at 6¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 5¢ bid, 6¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 3 inside KXWCFTTS-26JUN26URUESP.

Price history

6¢ current

+4¢
0¢5¢10¢
Jun 10, 2026Jun 25, 2026

Contract brief

If no team records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Uruguay vs Spain professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

No Goal

Rank

#3 of 3

Leader

Spain 69¢

Range

5¢-69¢

Family volume

$474

Identifier

KXWCFTTS-26JUN26URUESP-NONE

Jun 25, 2026, 3:08 PM UTC · 2m ago

Implied probability

6¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 25, 2026, 3:08 PM UTC · 2m ago

Bid

Ask

Spread

24h volume

$68

Family rank

#3 of 3

3 outcomes · KXWCFTTS-26JUN26URUESP

Closes

Jul 11, 2026

Family volume

$474

Orderbook snapshot

5 / 6¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
100¢2.1K
5¢144
4¢4.5K
3¢750
AskSize
6¢1.2K
7¢750
8¢200
9¢3.6K
16¢964

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If no team records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Uruguay vs Spain professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 11, 2026

Identifier

KXWCFTTS-26JUN26URUESP-NONE

SF Signal
SF Index
45123.30
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXWCFTTS-26JUN26URUESP.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$474

Outcomes

3

Highest price

Spain 69¢

Current share

14%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

45123.3%

IY (No)

125.0%

Adj IY

45123%

CRI

19

RV

5947%

VR

1.29

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

45123.3%
125.0%
Adj IY
45123%
19
RV
5947%
VR
1.29
IAR
1.2/h
Overround
-0.1%

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.