No Me Arrepiento de Sentir Tanto by KAROL G have above 8000 Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the August 07, 2026 - August 13, 2026 tracking week
Above 8K is priced at 4¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 3¢ bid, 42¢ ask, 39¢ spread. This outcome ranks #8 of 10 inside Will No Me Arrepiento de Sentir Tanto by KAROL G have above.
Price history
4¢ current
−30¢Contract brief
If No Me Arrepiento de Sentir Tanto by KAROL G has above 8K Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the August 07, 2026 - August 13, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 8K
Rank
#8 of 10
Leader
Above 1K 94¢
Range
2¢-94¢
Family volume
$1K
Identifier
KXPUREALBUMS-NOM26AUG13-8K
Aug 9, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 13m ago
Implied probability
Bid
3¢
Ask
42¢
Spread
39¢
24h volume
$3
Family rank
#8 of 10
10 outcomes · Will No Me Arrepiento de Sentir Tanto by KAROL G have above
Closes
Aug 16, 2026
Family volume
$1K
Orderbook snapshot
3 / 42¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If No Me Arrepiento de Sentir Tanto by KAROL G has above 8K Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the August 07, 2026 - August 13, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 16, 2026
Identifier
KXPUREALBUMS-NOM26AUG13-8K
Event family
Will No Me Arrepiento de Sentir Tanto by KAROL G have above.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$1K
Outcomes
10
Highest price
Above 1K 94¢
Current share
0%
Above 1K
kalshi · KXPUREALBUMS-NOM26AUG13-1K
Above 2K
kalshi · KXPUREALBUMS-NOM26AUG13-2K
Above 3K
kalshi · KXPUREALBUMS-NOM26AUG13-3K
Above 4K
kalshi · KXPUREALBUMS-NOM26AUG13-4K
Above 5K
kalshi · KXPUREALBUMS-NOM26AUG13-5K
Above 6K
kalshi · KXPUREALBUMS-NOM26AUG13-6K
Above 10K
kalshi · KXPUREALBUMS-NOM26AUG13-10K
Above 8K
kalshi · KXPUREALBUMS-NOM26AUG13-8K
Above 9K
kalshi · KXPUREALBUMS-NOM26AUG13-9K
Above 7K
kalshi · KXPUREALBUMS-NOM26AUG13-7K
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)
Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.
Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity
How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity
Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.
Information Finance Has Arrived: A Material Map of Prediction Markets in Q2 2026
Combined Kalshi + Polymarket volume hit $66B in just four months of 2026 — already greater than the entire 2025 industry total. Bernstein projects $1T by 2030. Two venues hold 95% of US share. The distribution layer fragmented across nine retail surfaces. AI agents are 30% of Polymarket wallet activ
Volatility Arbitrage in Prediction Markets: Why Political Favorites Above 60¢ Are Systematically Underconfident
A binary contract at price p has variance p(1-p). Le 2026 (292M trades) finds political markets underconfident at slopes 0.93-1.83 — meaning a 70¢ contract corresponds to a true probability near 83%. Four systematic vol-arb trades follow from the calibration evidence.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 4% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.