SimpleFunctions

No Me Arrepiento de Sentir Tanto by KAROL G have above 8000 Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the August 07, 2026 - August 13, 2026 tracking week

Above 8K is priced at 4¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 3¢ bid, 42¢ ask, 39¢ spread. This outcome ranks #8 of 10 inside Will No Me Arrepiento de Sentir Tanto by KAROL G have above.

Price history

4¢ current

30¢
0¢25¢
Jul 30, 2026Aug 9, 2026

Contract brief

If No Me Arrepiento de Sentir Tanto by KAROL G has above 8K Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the August 07, 2026 - August 13, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 8K

Rank

#8 of 10

Leader

Above 1K 94¢

Range

2¢-94¢

Family volume

$1K

Identifier

KXPUREALBUMS-NOM26AUG13-8K

Aug 9, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 13m ago

Implied probability

4¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 9, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 13m ago

Bid

Ask

42¢

Spread

39¢

24h volume

$3

Family rank

#8 of 10

10 outcomes · Will No Me Arrepiento de Sentir Tanto by KAROL G have above

Closes

Aug 16, 2026

Family volume

$1K

Orderbook snapshot

3 / 42¢

Kalshi
39¢ spread
BidSize
100¢100
3¢15
2¢70
AskSize
42¢10
43¢10
45¢15
46¢103
48¢250

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If No Me Arrepiento de Sentir Tanto by KAROL G has above 8K Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the August 07, 2026 - August 13, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 16, 2026

Identifier

KXPUREALBUMS-NOM26AUG13-8K

SF Signal
SF Index
50000.00
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

>100,000%

IY (No)

163.8%

Adj IY

50000%

CRI

32

Overround

1.1%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

>100,000%
163.8%
Adj IY
50000%
32
Overround
1.1%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.