No One Noticed to be #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report
No One Noticed is priced at 1¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 1¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 16 inside KXMUSICREPORT-TOPDIGSALE27DEC31.
Price history
1¢ current
−2¢Contract brief
If No One Noticed is ranked #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10-Selling Digital Songs of 2026 in U.S., as Published by Billboard, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
No One Noticed
Rank
#5 of 16
Leader
Choosin’ Texas 58¢
Range
1¢-58¢
Family volume
$2K
Identifier
KXMUSICREPORT-TOPDIGSALE27DEC31-NOO
Jun 25, 2026, 6:48 AM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
1¢
Spread
1¢
Reported volume
$3K
Family rank
#5 of 16
16 outcomes · KXMUSICREPORT-TOPDIGSALE27DEC31
Closes
Dec 26, 2027
Family volume
$2K
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 1¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If No One Noticed is ranked #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10-Selling Digital Songs of 2026 in U.S., as Published by Billboard, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 26, 2027
Identifier
KXMUSICREPORT-TOPDIGSALE27DEC31-NOO
Event family
KXMUSICREPORT-TOPDIGSALE27DEC31.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$2K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Choosin’ Texas 58¢
Current share
0%
Choosin’ Texas
kalshi · KXMUSICREPORT-TOPDIGSALE27DEC31-CHO
SWIM
kalshi · KXMUSICREPORT-TOPDIGSALE27DEC31-SWI
hate that i made you love me
kalshi · KXMUSICREPORT-TOPDIGSALE27DEC31-HAT
I Knew It, I Knew You
kalshi · KXMUSICREPORT-TOPDIGSALE27DEC31-IKN
drop dead
kalshi · KXMUSICREPORT-TOPDIGSALE27DEC31-DRO
Golden
kalshi · KXMUSICREPORT-TOPDIGSALE27DEC31-GOL
No One Noticed
kalshi · KXMUSICREPORT-TOPDIGSALE27DEC31-NOO
A Bar Song (Tipsy)
kalshi · KXMUSICREPORT-TOPDIGSALE27DEC31-ABA
Babydoll
kalshi · KXMUSICREPORT-TOPDIGSALE27DEC31-BAB
Beauty and a Beat
kalshi · KXMUSICREPORT-TOPDIGSALE27DEC31-BEA
Billie Jean
kalshi · KXMUSICREPORT-TOPDIGSALE27DEC31-BIL
BIRDS OF A FEATHER
kalshi · KXMUSICREPORT-TOPDIGSALE27DEC31-BIR
Die With a Smile
kalshi · KXMUSICREPORT-TOPDIGSALE27DEC31-DIE
DtMF
kalshi · KXMUSICREPORT-TOPDIGSALE27DEC31-DTM
End of Beginning
kalshi · KXMUSICREPORT-TOPDIGSALE27DEC31-END
I Just Might
kalshi · KXMUSICREPORT-TOPDIGSALE27DEC31-IJU
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.