Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 870 thousand passengers carried in Q2 2026
Above 870 thousand is priced at 31¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 28¢ bid, 34¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 8 inside Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report.
Price history
31¢ current
+1¢Contract brief
If Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. reports Above 870000 passengers carried in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 870 thousand
Rank
#3 of 8
Leader
Above 840 thousand 55¢
Range
2¢-55¢
Family volume
$201
Identifier
KXNCLH-26JULPAX-870000
Jun 26, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
28¢
Ask
34¢
Spread
6¢
Reported volume
$278
Family rank
#3 of 8
8 outcomes · Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report
Closes
Aug 29, 2026
Family volume
$201
Orderbook snapshot
28 / 34¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. reports Above 870000 passengers carried in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 29, 2026
Identifier
KXNCLH-26JULPAX-870000
Event family
Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$201
Outcomes
8
Highest price
Above 840 thousand 55¢
Current share
0%
Above 840 thousand
kalshi · KXNCLH-26JULPAX-840000
Above 855 thousand
kalshi · KXNCLH-26JULPAX-855000
Above 870 thousand
kalshi · KXNCLH-26JULPAX-870000
Above 885 thousand
kalshi · KXNCLH-26JULPAX-885000
Above 900 thousand
kalshi · KXNCLH-26JULPAX-900000
Above 915 thousand
kalshi · KXNCLH-26JULPAX-915000
Above 810 thousand
kalshi · KXNCLH-26JULPAX-820000
Above 825 thousand
kalshi · KXNCLH-26JULPAX-825000
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.