Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 3.25 million passengers carried in 2026
Above 3.25 million is priced at 96¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 95¢ bid, 96¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 7 inside Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 3.
Price history
96¢ current
+9¢Contract brief
If Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. reports Above 3250000.0 passengers carried in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 3.25 million
Rank
#4 of 7
Leader
Above 3.15 million 97¢
Range
38¢-97¢
Family volume
$23K
Identifier
KXNCLHA-28JANPAX-3250000.0
Jun 25, 2026, 3:08 PM UTC · 4m ago
Implied probability
Bid
95¢
Ask
96¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$11K
Family rank
#4 of 7
7 outcomes · Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 3
Closes
Mar 31, 2028
Family volume
$23K
Orderbook snapshot
95 / 96¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. reports Above 3250000.0 passengers carried in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Mar 31, 2028
Identifier
KXNCLHA-28JANPAX-3250000.0
Event family
Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 3.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$23K
Outcomes
7
Highest price
Above 3.15 million 97¢
Current share
45%
Above 3.15 million
kalshi · KXNCLHA-28JANPAX-3150000.0
Above 3.2 million
kalshi · KXNCLHA-28JANPAX-3200000.0
Above 3.1 million
kalshi · KXNCLHA-28JANPAX-3100000.0
Above 3.25 million
kalshi · KXNCLHA-28JANPAX-3250000.0
Above 3.3 million
kalshi · KXNCLHA-28JANPAX-3300000.0
Above 3.35 million
kalshi · KXNCLHA-28JANPAX-3350000.0
Above 3.4 million
kalshi · KXNCLHA-28JANPAX-3400000.0
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.