Notre Dame win at least 12 games this season
12 wins is priced at 47¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 28¢ bid, 46¢ ask, 18¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 7 inside Will Notre Dame win at least.
Price history
47¢ current
+45¢Contract brief
If the Notre Dame college football team has at least 12 wins in the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
12 wins
Rank
#2 of 7
Leader
8+ wins 61¢
Range
1¢-61¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXNCAAFWINS-26ND-12
May 24, 2026, 9:08 PM UTC · 1m ago
Implied probability
Bid
28¢
Ask
46¢
Spread
18¢
Reported volume
$2
Family rank
#2 of 7
7 outcomes · Will Notre Dame win at least
Closes
Dec 20, 2026
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
28 / 46¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the Notre Dame college football team has at least 12 wins in the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 20, 2026
Identifier
KXNCAAFWINS-26ND-12
Event family
Will Notre Dame win at least.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
7
Highest price
8+ wins 61¢
Current share
—
8+ wins
kalshi · KXNCAAFWINS-26ND-8
12 wins
kalshi · KXNCAAFWINS-26ND-12
9+ wins
kalshi · KXNCAAFWINS-26ND-9
10+ wins
kalshi · KXNCAAFWINS-26ND-10
11+ wins
kalshi · KXNCAAFWINS-26ND-11
6+ wins
kalshi · KXNCAAFWINS-26ND-6
7+ wins
kalshi · KXNCAAFWINS-26ND-7
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.