SimpleFunctions

NTE

NTE: Neverness to Everness is priced at 11¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 1¢ bid, 81¢ ask, 80¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 6 inside KXGAMEAWARDS-BMOB.

Price history

11¢ current

+9¢
0¢10¢
Sep 17, 2026Sep 24, 2026

Contract brief

If NTE: Neverness to Everness has won Best Mobile Game at the 2026 Game Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

NTE: Neverness to Everness

Rank

#2 of 6

Leader

Arknights: Endfield 37¢

Range

1¢-37¢

Family volume

$147

Identifier

KXGAMEAWARDS-BMOB-NTE

Sep 24, 2026, 8:53 AM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

11¢
Latest venue quote
Sep 24, 2026, 8:53 AM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

1¢

Ask

81¢

Spread

80¢

Reported volume

$93

Family rank

#2 of 6

6 outcomes · KXGAMEAWARDS-BMOB

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Family volume

$147

Orderbook snapshot

1 / 81¢

Kalshi
80¢ spread
BidSize
100¢100
AskSize
81¢22
95¢25
96¢96
97¢42
98¢62

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If NTE: Neverness to Everness has won Best Mobile Game at the 2026 Game Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Identifier

KXGAMEAWARDS-BMOB-NTE

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.