SimpleFunctions

Above 130M · Will Odd Mob have

Above 130M is priced at 96¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 94¢ bid, 99¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 16 inside Will Odd Mob have.

Price history

96¢ current

2¢
90¢100¢
May 28, 2026Jun 24, 2026

Contract brief

If Odd Mob has Above 130M Worldwide Streams during the January 01 - December 31, 2026 period, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 130M

Rank

#2 of 16

Leader

Above 105M 98¢

Range

20¢-98¢

Family volume

$14

Identifier

KXARTISTSTREAMSY-ODDMOB26DEC31-130.0M

Jun 24, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 9m ago

Implied probability

96¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 24, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 9m ago

Bid

94¢

Ask

99¢

Spread

Reported volume

$3K

Family rank

#2 of 16

16 outcomes · Will Odd Mob have

Closes

Jan 2, 2027

Family volume

$14

Orderbook snapshot

94 / 99¢

Kalshi
5¢ spread
BidSize
94¢83
93¢255
AskSize
99¢395

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Odd Mob has Above 130M Worldwide Streams during the January 01 - December 31, 2026 period, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 2, 2027

Identifier

KXARTISTSTREAMSY-ODDMOB26DEC31-130.0M

SF Signal
SF Index
1486.46
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

12.1%

IY (No)

2972.9%

Adj IY

1486%

CRI

16

Overround

12.2%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

12.1%
2972.9%
Adj IY
1486%
16
Overround
12.2%

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.