SimpleFunctions

Ohio St · KXNCAAFQF-27

Ohio St. is priced at 69¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 28¢ bid, 64¢ ask, 36¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 16 inside KXNCAAFQF-27.

Price history

69¢ current

+67¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢
Jul 3, 2026Jul 23, 2026

Contract brief

If Ohio St. qualifies for the College Football Playoff Quarterfinals in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Ohio St.

Rank

#3 of 16

Leader

Notre Dame 64¢

Range

1¢-64¢

Family volume

$29

Identifier

KXNCAAFQF-27-OSU

Jul 23, 2026, 2:08 AM UTC · 22m ago

Implied probability

69¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 23, 2026, 2:08 AM UTC · 22m ago

Bid

28¢

Ask

64¢

Spread

36¢

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

#3 of 16

16 outcomes · KXNCAAFQF-27

Closes

Jan 31, 2027

Family volume

$29

Orderbook snapshot

28 / 64¢

Kalshi
36¢ spread
BidSize
28¢250
27¢3.5K
25¢16K
22¢53
21¢25K
AskSize
64¢250
65¢505
67¢15K
70¢300
80¢300

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Ohio St. qualifies for the College Football Playoff Quarterfinals in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 31, 2027

Identifier

KXNCAAFQF-27-OSU

SF Signal
SF Index
0.00
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

487.5%

IY (No)

73.7%

Adj IY

0%

CRI

3

Overround

1.6%

LAS

1.29

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

487.5%
73.7%
Adj IY
0%
3
Overround
1.6%
LAS
1.29

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.