SimpleFunctions

Ohio St. win at least 9 games this season

9+ wins is priced at 68¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 68¢ bid, 84¢ ask, 16¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 7 inside Will Ohio St. win at least.

Price history

68¢ current

7¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢
Jun 9, 2026Jul 8, 2026

Contract brief

If the Ohio St. college football team has at least 9 wins in the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

9+ wins

Rank

#4 of 7

Leader

6+ wins 82¢

Range

9¢-82¢

Family volume

$3

Identifier

KXNCAAFWINS-26OSU-9

Jul 9, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 15m ago

Implied probability

68¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 9, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 15m ago

Bid

68¢

Ask

84¢

Spread

16¢

Reported volume

$2K

Family rank

#4 of 7

7 outcomes · Will Ohio St. win at least

Closes

Dec 20, 2026

Family volume

$3

Orderbook snapshot

68 / 84¢

Kalshi
16¢ spread
BidSize
68¢100
67¢500
66¢1.0K
62¢25
58¢100
AskSize
84¢500
85¢1.0K
88¢10
92¢25
96¢100

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the Ohio St. college football team has at least 9 wins in the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 20, 2026

Identifier

KXNCAAFWINS-26OSU-9

SF Signal
SF Index
236.57
Regime
neutral

Event family

Will Ohio St. win at least.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$3

Outcomes

7

Highest price

6+ wins 82¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

104.8%

IY (No)

473.1%

Adj IY

237%

CRI

2

Overround

3.1%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

104.8%
473.1%
Adj IY
237%
2
Overround
3.1%

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Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.